Posted By Sean S

I revisited the defensive MLEs recently.  The biggest change was for the catchers.  Two examples are Adam Moore, who might wind up starting in Seattle, and Jesus Montero, one of the best long term prospects in the game. Moore goes from -14 to -9,  Montero from -21 to -16.  I may post more on this later.  I started a longer post, but I'm not sure it's coherent enough, and it's getting late.

7 Comment(s):
David said...
Alrighty. Thanks. I guess baserunning is a kind of the junior version of defense in the sense that there are a lot of team and situational variables that come into play and it's really hard to pinpoint its value with great precision. But, for whatever it's worth, I think that, in terms of arenas that deserve to be quantified more than they already are, I think that baserunning is one of them. (But I won't be the one doing the work!)
May 6, 2010 12:09:31
Sean said...
Yes, just a general estimate of speed, not a value metric for current, or any season.
May 5, 2010 12:05:58
David said...
Thanks for the reply, and I immediately put that context of the defense score into use. Just to be clear, the Speed score is just a general gauge of how fast a player is rather than a season or game summary, right? That is, it's not like BP's BRR which tries to estimate the number of runs on the basepaths that a player gains or loses for the team over the course of a season, right?
May 3, 2010 02:04:35
Sean said...
Defense is runs saved per 150 games. Speed is the Bill James speed scores.
May 1, 2010 06:20:25
David said...
Since you're talking about defense, that's one key area where I'm not entirely sure what the projection means. Is the number the runs saved per game? For instance, Brandon Inge (3B) is listed as a 6 defensively, and he projects to play 140 games. So does this mean that Inge projects to save (6/140) .043 runs per game? Similarly, I'm also unclear about the "R150" and the "Speed" numbers. If you ever get the time, an explanation for these (especially the defense and speed numbers) would be really appreciated.
April 24, 2010 02:07:51
Sean said...
Melky is still very young, and moving to an easier league. I think he's got a breakout year ahead of him if he gets the chance.
April 7, 2010 05:41:12
JDSussman said...
Sean, quick question. Can you explain the Melky Cabrera CHONE projection to me? It has him in left field full time (which is ok), but it also has him having his best offensive and defensive seasons. Sorry for posting this here, I didn't know where else to put it.
March 31, 2010 07:43:43
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Sean S
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